Predictions for this week:1) Chandrika will deliver one last, beautifully timed blow to Mahinda’s campaign and frankly he deserves it, for being a gormless idiot and for all the mud-slinging he’s been doing behind her back. The names he apparently calls her would make a hardened prostitute blush.2) Some time in the next few days, either Ranil or Mahinda will have some attempt made on their lives:If someone tries to kill Ranil then it’s probably genuine and probably a) UPFA b) LTTE On the other hand, if someone tries to kill Mahinda – it’ll be another smacks-of-the-LTTE-but-isn’t –à la Kadirgamar style.Why do I say this? Because never before have roads been closed off on Nomination day because of security concerns for the candidates. What security concerns were there then? Mahinda was (and unfortunately still is) a bumbling fool and Ranil was a friend to the Tigers – surely no one really wanted either dead. Today things are very different. Read the other blogs on Kottu to find out why.My bets are on Mahinda being shot at but most likely this will be by his own people (remember how Chandrika got the second term she didn’t deserve?)2) Mahinda will win.2.1 I hate this thought but let’s face it – Mahinda has better support in the South and speaks to the “heart of the people” eugh.2.2 Mahinda also has more charisma than Ranil and though he speaks rubbish - frankly only people who live in Colombo 7 and its immediate surroundings like people who talk some sense so it really doesn’t matter.2.3 Ranil’s policies are more sound and make more sense but neither he, nor the younger UNP types have any real idea about how they should sell this to the average guy on the street whether Sinhalese or Tamil. Terrible marketing. Truly terrible… I hope someone spanks them really hard when they lose.Oh and…. people down South still remember the Jana Bala Meheyuma was really just a glorified booze-up and people in the other areas don’t like UNP-types turning up in their massive jeeps and running a cash-for-votes scheme. The UNP needs more Sajith Premadasas and less Ravi Karunanayakes and Milinda Moragodas, S B Dissanayakes and Sagala Ratnayakes. They give politics a bad, bad name.3) When Mahinda wins, this country will – make no mistake about it will go to the dogs and it won’t recover for a while. Not in my lifetime and I’m in my twenties. Isn’t that a horrid thought?4) No matter who wins this election, we will miss Chandrika. I hope no one ever forgets her blatant nepotism, slow-motion presidency or how she funnelled vast amounts of public funds to pay for her little nest-egg. That said, I have never known anyone to possess that much charm and grace while still being able to swear like a fisherwoman.CBK also did her job under remarkably difficult conditions and I only wish her spine had developed a little earlier.In conclusion:Never before has it been so important that you make everyone vote, specially if they’re likely to be pro-UNP. If these people don’t know who they want to vote for, it’s ok to convince them that a good administrator is what we need now, not some Johnny from whereverhe’sfrom. Actually we need a cross between Premadasa and Chandrika but that will never happen. So Ranil it is.
sittingnut said...
a nice muddled post, no? :-)
5:33 AM
1 comment:
AND it turned out I was wrong- shucks.
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